Retail · Forecast, Historical & Historical Forecast Data

Forecast Demand. Not Only Weather.

Most weather providers give you a forecast or a historical record. AccuWeather adds a third: Historical Forecasts, what was predicted at the time, weighed against what actually happened. That comparison, along with AccuWeather’s proven Superior Accuracy™, is what builds greater confidence in your predictive model, not only in today’s forecast.

Forecast Alert

UV Index: 10 — Extreme

Peak sun exposure expected today. Promote sunscreen, after-sun care, and hats at checkout and endcaps.

Ad Opportunity

Why demand forecasts miss weather-driven spikes

Most retail teams leverage weather to predict sales, but most only use historical observed weather and future forecasts. But there is a third piece that most teams lack: a record of what was actually forecast at the time, not only what the weather turned out to be. That gap matters because consumers do not react only to the actual weather; they also react to what they were told to expect.

Why demand forecasts miss weather-driven spikes

Four kinds of weather data. Only AccuWeather gives you all four.

Forecasts tell you what is coming. Historical data tells you what happened. Historical Forecasts, available only from AccuWeather, tell you what your model and your customers actually believed was coming at the time, closing the gap that demand and inventory models miss. Lifestyle & Health Indices turn that data into an easy trigger point, so campaigns fire at the moment they will drive the most ROI.

Four kinds of weather data. Only AccuWeather gives you all four.

Historical Weather Data

The cleanest, most comprehensive set of past weather conditions dating back to 1950. Missing and erroneous data has been accounted for.

Historical Weather Data

Forecast

AccuWeather’s forecasts have been verified as the most accurate with proven Superior Accuracy™ in severe weather situations when it matters most.

Forecast

Historical Forecasts (Exclusive)

Go beyond historical observations with 15-day forecast snapshots preserved exactly as they were issued, across 90+ parameters and nearly 90,000 locations since 2020, delivered directly via Snowflake and Databricks. Model what actually drove behavior, not only what the weather turned out to be.

Historical Forecasts (Exclusive)

Lifestyle & Health Indices

AccuWeather’s 50+ proprietary Lifestyle & Health Indices span categories like Cold & Flu Risk, Outdoor Activity, Physical Activity, and Travel Conditions. Each one translates 200+ weather parameters into the exact moment weather conditions align with consumer mindset, so campaigns launch when they maximize ROI.

How leading retailers use AccuWeather’s forecast, historical, and Historical Forecast data to stay ahead of weather-driven demand

How leading retailers use AccuWeather's forecast, historical, and Historical Forecast data to stay ahead of weather-driven…

Align product assortment and inventory with weather-driven demand patterns, then use Historical Forecasts to see how each region actually responded to those forecasted conditions in the past, not only the regional sales average.

Time promotions to the forecasted conditions and health indices that actually drive shopper behavior, such as UV Index, Allergy Index and Hydration/Thirst Index. Then use Historical Forecasts, paired with what actually happened, to backtest the rule and build confidence in exactly how much of the lift came from weather versus media spend or creative.

Better anticipate weather disruptions to logistics and distribution, often earlier, and respond before they impact operations.

Know which categories are calendar-driven and which are weather-driven. Temperature trend forecasts, seasonal transition indicators, and soil-temperature data show exactly when a category, not a date on the planogram, is ready to move.

Severe weather can disrupt supply chains, shift consumer behavior more abruptly, and force more costly closures. Without better, more accurate, actionable forecasts, retailers are left reacting instead of planning, resulting in greater lost sales, excess inventory, and operational inefficiencies. Proactive severe-weather alerts reduce store closures, safety incidents, and asset damage before they happen.

QuikTrip Enhances Operational Decisions and Performance with AccuWeather Data

“Before we had AccuWeather, we had to rely on alerts and forecast information from the National Weather Service. It was very slow and clunky, and we were not able to get timely information out to our units and travelers. This could have been very detrimental to our restaurants, family members, and customer safety.”

AccuWeather ClientEmergency Manager

“Our team certainly takes full advantage of AccuWeather’s meteorologists when these events are tracking our way. We appreciate the work that goes on behind the scenes by your team. Your storm potential notices are awesome! Our teams really rely on these and it really helped to get product into the stores before
the storm.”

AccuWeather ClientManager, Logistics

Forecast data. Historical data. Historical Forecast data. Lifestyle & Health Indices. Plugged directly into your business systems.

Most providers can give you a forecast or a historical archive. AccuWeather is the only source that also preserves the forecast itself, exactly as it was issued, so your models can be built on what actually drove behavior, not only what the weather turned out to be. Integrate AccuWeather’s most accurate data into your ERP, POS, or marketing platforms to power adaptive, weather-driven workflows: 60+ years of historical data, 300+ parameters, downscaled to 1 km, plus Historical Forecast snapshots across 90+ parameters and nearly 90,000 locations dating back to 2020.

REST API
JSON & GeoJSON
WebSocket
Streaming
Webhook
Push
Flat Files
CSV
Databricks
Delta Share
Snowflake
Private Listing

See what your models have been missing. Get a complimentary look at how AccuWeather’s Historical Forecasts would have performed against your actual sell-through windows.